Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve performance over the past six months, Aliassime has an edge, winning 47.46% of points compared to Rublev's 44.97%.
• Regarding return games, Aliassime marginally leads in winning second serve return points with 44.37%, while Rublev has 44.36%. For first serve returns, Aliassime outperforms Rublev by 1.2 percentage points, indicating a slight advantage.
• Under pressure, Aliassime has proven to be slightly better at saving breakpoints, with a 59.09% success rate compared to Rublev's 56.97%.
• Analyzing their performance over the last year, Aliassime has a higher match win rate at 61.67% compared to Rublev's 58.46%.
• Regarding playing surfaces, Aliassime excels on indoor hard courts with a 69% win rate, whereas Rublev's best surface is hard courts with a 66% win rate. Both players have their weakest performance on different surfaces, with Aliassime on regular hard and Rublev on clay.
• On the main tour, Aliassime has a slightly higher win rate of 67.57% compared to Rublev's 65.71% over the past year.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Rublev dominates with 7 wins out of 8 matches, suggesting a psychological advantage.
• Both players have often gone to deciding sets in their matches, with Rublev winning 5 out of 6. However, Aliassime has a better overall deciding set win rate over the last 12 months (60%) compared to Rublev (45%).
• Aliassime faces typically higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 66.63, compared to Rublev's 75.68, suggesting a tougher competition for Aliassime.
• In terms of break point conversion, Rublev is more efficient, converting 32% of his chances, while Aliassime manages 25.45%.

Editorial Prediction (September 1, 2025, UTC):

As we delve into the upcoming match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Andrey Rublev, statistical insights reveal diverse strengths and weaknesses for both competitors. Aliassime edges out Rublev in second serve performance and has shown stronger resilience when saving breakpoints, hinting at crucial advantages, especially during tightly contested games.

Rublev's proficiency on hard courts and his consistent head-to-head record against Aliassime cannot be overlooked. Furthermore, his superior ability to convert break points and past successes in clutch moments against Aliassime highlight his tenacity.

Although Aliassime has shown enhanced form in deciding sets over the previous year, Rublev's psychological edge and historical dominance in their direct encounters might prove decisive.

Considering these factors, while Aliassime has potential advantages, Rublev appears more likely to leverage his head-to-head success and tactical play to emerge as the victor in this highly anticipated match.